Sunday, December 27, 2009
Story Ideas: How About Some Non-Evil Aliens?
Wednesday, December 16, 2009
Causality: A Rigorous Examination
As in any good rigorous examination of ideas, we begin with definitions:
The start state of a possible world is simply the precise arrangement of elements at the time we begin examining it (however, an imprecise version of the start state is also used (called, imaginatively, the "known start state" as opposed to the "true" start state), in which the start state is simply the totality of information we have on the actual start state). The outcome set of this possible world is the set of possible arrangements at the time we finish examining it, weighted by probability. The outcome is the actual arrangement at the time we finish examining.
Utility Monsters
My utilitarian idea is simply that the optimal result for the whole is the optimal result for the parts; optimal results are calculated in units of "happiness*time*capacity to experience". Happiness ranges from -1 to 1, measuring "completely unhappy" (would prefer to not exist) to "completely happy" with 0 being defined as "indifferent about own existence". This is what that means: each entity in the universe has a utility function that assigns how much the entity "likes" any given outcome of the universe. For non-sentient entities, they don't actually care, so their utility is defined to be a constant 0 over all outcomes. For sentient ones, their utility functions are defined by them for themselves. A typical human utility function combines material wealth, emotional stability, social interactions, and a number of other factors. Utility functions increase in magnitude as "capacity to experience" increases - i.e. a snake may "like" a certain outcome that a human would not like, but the human overrides the snake since the human is more fully aware and thus able to appreciate his optimal utility better. I add the "*time" since I this happiness should last long.
More precisely, total utility from time t = a to b is (integral from a to b) ((summation over all entities) (happiness*capacity to experience)) (dt) - it's a fairly simple equation if you understand calculus.
A utility monster is a being that experiences a massive burst of optimality that is mutually exclusive with others' optimal results: for example, a typical utility monster is a man who experiences millions of times the happiness a normal human is capable of when he kills babies. The question: giving babies to this man to kill gruesomely will indeed increase total utility by my formula. Is it therefore the right thing to do?
Well, it depends on "right thing to do". I certainly wouldn't sacrifice myself to the utility monster - I'm selfish. And I wouldn't sacrifice others to it either - it's not my business, and I'd rather avoid it. But, I do believe that it is, from society's point of view, the "right thing to do". After all, we do it already. In fact, unless you're vegetarian, YOU are a utility monster (or at least you should hope you are - if you're not, it means eating meat is increasing total suffering in the world). I don't try to moralize meat-eating at all, really. I do it because I like it and I don't give a flying shit about what happens to animals, except for my friends' pets and the fish in my mother's pond. I accept that I am the utility monster, or worse, I'm pure selfishness propagating misery, and I eat meat. It's delicious. And I certainly wouldn't grudge meat to someone else. We all have the 'right' to do anything we can physically get away with (i.e. not be punished for or not be caught doing) and emotionally get away with (i.e. not feel guilty about afterwards), and I intend to exercise this right continuously. It's what rational living is all about.
Belief that feeding the utility monster is 'wrong' combined with meat-eating is a contradiction in terms. A side-effect conclusion is that if machines ever achieve greater sentience than humans, they are 100% justified in wiping out humanity to make room for their superior pleasure centers. If they try to wipe ME out, though, I'll fight back. Because it's what's good for ME.
Look out for yourself. Few others will.
Tuesday, December 15, 2009
The Angry Philosopher's Reading List
Many thanks to my friend (I'm not sure I should post names on this blog, so I'll just say he knows I'm talking about him, and that's good enough for me) who introduced me to the first two materials on this list, and generally owns me at philosophy.
(1): Godel, Escher, Bach: hands down the most provocative, interesting, best written (I believe), and one of the funniest, things I've read in my life ever. If you are a human being with any interest in mathematics and logic and philosophy, please do yourself a favor and pick this gem up. You won't regret it.
(2): Eliezer Yudkowsky's website: a fantastic and clear introduction to modern rational thinking (though I do disagree with him on a few points, namely the idea that if I 'woke up with a blue tentacle instead of my left arm', there would be nothing for a rational person to do - if I do, clearly I'm dreaming and will wake up with my left arm back, so there's your 'useful prediction,' Yudkowsky). Also contains very interesting ideas about technology (singularity for the win) and some very interesting pieces of fiction (notably "Three Worlds Collide").
(3): Watchmen: interesting, entertaining, beautifully drawn, with real atmosphere and one of the best scenes of all time (in my opinion) - the funeral scene where each attendee has a flashback of the Comedian. This book proves that "super-heroes" and comic-book format are not just for little kids (Watchmen is NOT for kids - this stuff would just go over their heads), and proves it spectacularly. Props to it for having NO traditional "bad guy" figures, with the exception of really minor characters (the only one I can think of is "Big Figure" and his goons - even the other retired super-villains are clearly human and (especially Moloch) just want to be left alone).
(4): Macchiavelli's "The Prince" and (to a slightly lesser extent) "Discourses on Livy": the first clear-headed political thinker and godfather of realpolitik gives us a real insight into human nature and the nature of governments.
(5): Raymond Smullyan's "To Mock a Mockingbird": I admit I couldn't push my way through this incredibly dense exercise in logic, but it is well written and anybody interested in a crash course in logic written in an interesting way should check it out.
(6): The Number Devil: Finally, an introduction for kids and math illiterates to what really makes mathematics interesting. None of that boring number crunching crap here - only genuinely interesting (albeit well-known to any mathematician) ideas. Continuing on this theme, I can recommend many casual-mathematics books as introductions to what real mathematicians do with their time, as well as the (totally non-textbook-style) textbook Winning Ways (Conway, Berlekamp, Guy), for anyone who ever wanted to beat someone else at a game.
(7): Blade Runner: yes, it's a movie, but that doesn't make it any less interesting (not to mention it's huge entertainment value). Watch it. It's good. In the same vein, watch District 9. Despite the obviousness of "the fluid" as a plot device, the movie is damn good, and will make you think.
(8): The Hitchhiker's Guide to the Galaxy: it's fucking hilarious. 'Nuff said.
The Levels of Sentience
Before answering this question, I would like to construct a (very rough and imprecise) sketch of something I believe without having any real reason to (this is why this post is not part of My System):
The Six Levels of Sentience:
Category 0 Sentience: Non-sentient. Includes almost everything in the universe, such as rocks, planets, stars, and man-made objects like cars and houses and such.
Category 1 Sentience: Replicating and data-storing systems. Category 1 sentience includes bacteria, prions, viruses, computer viruses, computers (to an extent), and even organisms as complex as plants, although plants should actually fall between categories 1 and 2. Category 1 Sentient entities have very primitive objective functions, i.e. they 'desire' to replicate, but these are not true objective functions since they are not self-aware.
Category 2 Sentience: Primitive self-aware systems. Includes animals (basically anything with a few sensory organs and a nervous system). These organisms have objective functions (i.e. "want food") and basic emotions, and can take direct action to get what they want. However, they lack true self-awareness, and cannot imagine (i.e. consider things that are not real and will never have a hope of being real).
Category 3 Sentience: Developed self-awareness. Can imagine and create. Basically, this category includes only humans. Have fully thought-out and self-aware objective functions and can take actions to fulfill objectives, but are sometimes thwarted by inability of conscious free will to subvert subconscious control (i.e. a fat person unable to diet).
Category 4 Sentience: Like Category 3 Sentience but can directly manipulate its own sentient structure to produce improved versions of itself. For example, if I were a Category 4 Sentience, I would manipulate my own intelligence levels to ever higher strengths, manipulate myself into liking foods and actions (like exercise) that are good for my body, and manipulate my objective functions to be perpetually happy (essentially, turn my body and part of my mind to preserving my existence, and the rest to expanding my pleasure capacity). Category 4 Sentience is the category that will undergo the Technological Singularity, if it ever happens.
Category 5 Sentience: Totally fictional. Possesses a perfect will and perfect knowledge of its own objective function, and so will always act the same way in the same situations (a.k.a. no Free Will). Possesses self-awareness and pleasure capacity equal to the physical limit. Will always take the optimum action in every situation.
So this is what I want. I don't want Free Will. I want to use Free Will to achieve a state where Free Will is replaced by optimum determinism, i.e. as close an approximation of Category 5 Sentience as is physically possible. I want to be optimally happy for as much time as is possible.
I want to go to heaven, but, since it doesn't exist after death, I wish to create it for life.
Monday, December 14, 2009
Story Plots: Judaea
Trouble is, the Temple Mount is now the site of one of Islam's top-five holy places, the Al-Aqsa mosque and the Dome of the Rock (where Muhammad ascended to Heaven and blah blah blah).
There are some modern Israelis who say that since Israel possesses the Temple Mount, they should destroy Al-Aqsa and build the Third Temple, a move likely to cause war with every muslim nation on the planet. The Israeli government has a number of excuses to not do this, one of which is that only a perfectly red heifer can be sacrificed there - and they don't have a red heifer.
The story of Judaea (is mostly planned to be a flashback, but...) picks up when a team of Israeli genetics experts create a perfectly red heifer and declare the time of the Messiah to be nigh. The upcoming Israeli elections suddenly take a radical swing following mass euphoria amongst many religious and semi-religious Israelis and the newly convened Knesset votes to rebuild the temple. A distressed secular Israeli Air Force commander, the heads of Mossad and Shin Bet, and many secular Israeli army commanders stage a putsch to prevent this (re-basing the government to the more secular area of Tel-Aviv) and deploy paratrooper regiments and air defenses around the temple mount. Much of Israel is outraged by this and the West Bank and significant parts of Eretz Israel break off and form the Republic of Judaea. Jerusalem remains in army control, but a strong Jewish insurgency against the Israeli army builds up, and mortar attacks even begin on the Temple Mount in an attempt to destroy the Dome of the Rock. Palestinians stage a mass uprising in the West Bank but are beaten down by the gloves-off Judaean Army (composed of regiments of the Israeli Army that did not back the coup) and several massacres occur. In response, Syria and Iran attack Judaea. Judaea and Israel sign an accord and beat back the Syrians and Iranians (who distrust each other enough to seriously mess up their war effort), but a continuing battle over Jerusalem ensues. In the end, Judaean rockets fired from the Old City, where even the secular Israeli Army doesn't dare bomb, destroy Al-Aqsa and the Dome of the Rock. All Muslim nations attack Israel (all of it, since none recognize Judaea as a country) and most Western nations cut off aid and relations with Israel. Israel cuts a deal with the UN to forfeit the West Bank and East Jerusalem, with international control of the sacred sites. Despite inflicting massive casualties on the attacking Arab forces, Judaea is wiped out, and a Western/Israeli/Arab standoff ensues over Jerusalem. In the end, Israel reverts to a combo of the UN 1947 partition plan and the pre-1967 "Green Line" (with a few modifications like Ma'ale Adummim). Notably, Israel loses control of East and Old Jerusalem, which is to be governed by a UN-created interfaith council. The Israeli Junta resigns and Israel elects a new, secular Knesset.
Story Plots: Immortal
I will begin posting these up on my site. The first of these plots/universes is the universe of Immortal:
This is a story universe that takes place sometime in the 25th century. Space exploration and commercial development has largely been a flop, as has AI research. However, a massive and drawn-out biotech revolution has been going on since the mid-21st century. At the turn of the century (21st - 22nd) it was realized that every 20 years or so, medical technology expanded the average lifespan by 25 years - meaning everyone was expected to have remaining 5 years more than they started out with. This was hailed (rightfully) as a huge event - it meant effective immortality. This revolution reached a climax around 2200 (beginning of the 23rd century) with lifespan improvement of roughly 30 years for every 20 years of research.
During this time period, a huge number of political and demographic changes swept the world. For example, all the developed and most of the developing nations saw a massive burst in population since people were being born, but nobody was dying. By 2250, much of the world had declared birth outright illegal for economic reasons, with mandatory sterilization. Universities and schools closed down, with the occasional death being made up for by meager immigration from the Third World. Meanwhile, the third world continued to have normal birth and death rates since much of it was too mired in poverty to afford the expensive 'immortality' treatments. The obvious exceptions to this rule were the powerful families that dominated the third world. Realizing exactly how much the power gap between the oligarchs and the people had widened, and seeing the potential of immortality and ignorance to convince the people that the rulers were actual flesh-and-blood gods, bloody power struggles within these families produced a series of strongmen who ruled the third world. Each strongman was considered (because they were immortal) a god in his own country, and none allowed any other person, even family relations, to possess the modern western treatments. Thus the third world remained poor and underdeveloped, with the dictators trading raw materials to the increasingly flourishing and demanding 1st world economies in exchange for the immortality treatments.
However, by 2300, the immortality trend has begun to reverse - for every 25 years of medical research, only 20 years of expanded lifespan are achieved. The world is optimistic that a new technology can bring the world back into immortality, though, and things continue as they are. The medical revolution grinds to a halt around 2350, and all attention and resources are turned to the new technology. Then, in 2430, the new technology demonstrably and violently fails, just a few decades before the scheduled expiration of most of the 1st world's lifespan. Predictably, panic ensues, and people try to make denials, etc. The story picks up in 2450, with the major headline of the first natural deaths in the 1st world in 2 centuries. Shortly after, one of the strongmen dies, and rebellions and confusion sweep the third world. The story was to feature philosophical ideas about life and death (how would someone who for much of his life was convinced he would be immortal face death?) and a stonking great scene where a first world military force (employing hastily-created young mercenaries (created when immortality failed as a fail-safe for civilization), since all the real citizens are too old and frail) launches a military intervention in a collapsed third-world regime.
Sunday, December 13, 2009
The Parable of Ken and the Pig
Thursday, December 10, 2009
Pascal's Wager is Bullshit
The Parable of Joe and Ahmed
A Word on Intellectual Honesty
Tuesday, November 24, 2009
Religious Hate-Fest!
1: Christianity
Christianity is the largest religion on Earth, with ~2 billion adherents worldwide. This effectively makes it the largest reactionary force and hindrance to science in the world. I also hate its self-contradictory and faux-righteous position on stem cell research. It’s also the #1 big social problem plaguing America, which pisses me off because America rules. For example, it put that dolt Bush in office for two fucking terms. And I hate the Pope, the old fart, with his big money and his billion reactionary adherents.
Redeeming Features: It’s adaptable. I can respect that. It adopted multiple pagan rituals, and gifts and chocolate eggs rule. Also, I like the Christian Scientists because they don’t take medicine, and hence die off a lot faster.
2: Islam
Islam is the second largest religion on Earth, and the fastest growing. Also, although most Muslims aren’t international terrorists, most international terrorists are Muslim. Eat shit, you politically correct assholes. It also happens to be the #2 threat to both America and Israel (after Christianity and Judaism respectively). I hate the Ayatollah. I hate the fact that its adherents tend to be among the most reactionary in the world. I hate almost everything about it.
Redeeming Features: None. The whole religion is inflexible bullshit.
3: Judaism
Judaism is the ‘parent’ religion of both Christianity and Islam and happens to be the #1 threat to Israel’s survival, because the religious right wing in Israel is full of fascists who want to massacre every Arab within 1000 km. It also bans pork, shrimp, and cheese-steaks, which is bullshit as all three are delicious. And it’s ‘holy’ book is about the most vitriolic, vile, racist (the Chosen People? come on, you assholes!), classist (except for Hinduism) thing around (this article may be vitriolic, but it ain’t racist – religion is not race, motherfuckers).
Redeeming Features: Hanukkah (latkes!), Purim (Hamantashen!), Woody Allen, Jon Stewart, and Albert Einstein – although I attribute these features more to the ethnic side of Judaism (which I love – it’s why I love Israel) than the religion.
4: Confucianism
Confucianism is the main reason China went from superpower of the medieval world to scared, pathetic giant being crushed by Japan during WWII. It’s focus on family and being close to home meant that China never expanded its economy and never developed the colonies that made Britain the uberpower it eventually became. Also, most of my mom’s bullshit ideas about how I should live come from here.
Redeeming Features: “If we cannot understand men, how can you expect us to understand ghosts and gods? For me, I respect them and I stay away from them.”
5: Lamaism
The most retarded religion in history. And actively trying to ruin its own country. ‘Nuff said.
Redeeming Features: Funny hats
6: Hinduism
One of the biggest religions of all time, thus one of the most damaging. Also is to this day inherently classist and racist, with the caste system one of the main reasons the Indian mathematical super-genius Ramanujan was not able to achieve the entirety of his enormous potential. Also, it says cows are sacred, which is stupid.
Redeeming Features: The Kama Sutra, baby.
7: Buddhism
Deliberately made up of contradictions. “Buddha is Mind and Buddha is not Mind”. If you assume a contradiction any statement is provably true (logic, motherfuckers!), so guess what, jackass, your pants are now officially and provably on fire.
Redeeming Features: The original version as laid down by Siddhartha Gautama seems quite reasonable and moderated (more a philosophy than a religion), but I don’t know enough. If it did start out well, it sure didn’t end so well. Also, not violent enough to be hyper-destructive like the Western religions.
8: Scientology
These people are dumb enough to believe some shit some guy made up – and to pay him for the privilege of hearing more. I mean, it has both “science” and “ology” in it as well – it must be true! All this happened while he (the founder) was alive. At least the authors of the Qu’ran and the Bible and the Torah are all dead, so it doesn’t feel as much like shit some guy made up last night while reading bad fanfiction. The adherents of this religion are the dumbest people on Earth.
Redeeming Features: Aside from being hilarious, it was started for the profit motive and worked damn well. L Ron Hubbard, I salute you for your sheer balls and the way you suckered thousands of people out of their money. Also, it’s one of the few religions to actively and directly make its members poorer.
Free Will
Thursday, November 19, 2009
The Greatest Enemy
Wednesday, November 18, 2009
A Quick Acknowledgement
Eschew Obfuscation
The Axiom of Utility and the Non-Importance of Truth
Tuesday, November 17, 2009
My First Axioms
Sunday, November 15, 2009
Axiomatic Thought
I can hear the response now in my head: if all reasoning must start from axioms, why do you attack religion so much? Why is the axiom: 'God is all powerful and this is what God says' inferior to your own axiomatic system? I maintain that my axiomatic system is so fundamental that few, if any, could dispute the premises. And by this axiomatic system, God is excluded and sent back to the dark irrational parts of the human psyche from which he emerged.
The key is that not all axiomatic systems are created equal. Critically, each axiom within a system represents a vulnerability, a weakness, of that system. It is a point that is self-justified, and self-justification is the weakest of all justifications, since self-justification means it is true only because it is assumed to be so. Nothing else supports it. Thus, an axiomatic system grows weaker and leakier as it grows in size - more axioms means more trouble spots that had to be patched up. A collection of axioms as large as the Bible, Torah, Koran, or Vedas is rife with problems. Their reasoning is so shaky that virtually every argument must introduce new axioms (every time God says another thing, it is another axiom) to help it stumble feebly from one conclusion to the next. By the time it's interpreted and argued, the whole mess is full of logical errors and sore spots, ready to collapse with the first insightful attack on it.
Ideally, axiomatic thought should work by Ockham's Razor: as few and as emotionally and psychologically acceptable axioms as possible, and reasoning from then on. With an axiomatic system like that, the weaknesses are fewer and firmer, and although attacks are still possible, they do not cause the immediate self-destruction of the system.
Thursday, November 12, 2009
The Parable of Doubting Thomas
But he said to them, "Unless I see the nail marks in his hands and put my finger where the nails were, and put my hand into his side, I will not believe it."
26A week later his disciples were in the house again, and Thomas was with them. Though the doors were locked, Jesus came and stood among them and said, "Peace be with you!" 27Then he said to Thomas, "Put your finger here; see my hands. Reach out your hand and put it into my side. Stop doubting and believe."
28Thomas said to him, "My Lord and my God!"
29Then Jesus told him, "Because you have seen me, you have believed; blessed are those who have not seen and yet have believed."
(from http://www.biblegateway.com/passage/?search=John+20&version=NIV)
It's that last sentence that really does it for me, that brings my piss to a boil, that has skull-fucked the world for the last 2000-odd years. It might seem a natural thing for a religion to say - it is. But it's totally, completely, unspeakably evil. Let me paraphrase: that last sentence essentially says "'Tis a virtue to hold beliefs in total contradiction to any and all evidence encountered before - especially the beliefs I tell you to believe". Sound cultish? It is this attitude towards evidence-gathering and rational thought that has fostered the scientific decay of the Dark Ages, caused the most vile and cruel regimes to thrive (think of the treatment of the "science" of Marxism in the supposedly atheist USSR; they share more with God than they'd like to think) and in general has destroyed millions by the sword and billions by the delay of technical progress (think Galileo or Darwin). Now explain to me again why Christianity (or any other religion, for that matter, especially Hinduism, which disgusts me even more than Christianity - Christianity was at least theoretically egalitarian, while Hinduism is based upon discrimination and callousness towards the lower castes, especially the 'untouchables' who suffer to this day) has been a net positive towards humanity? It certainly didn't save or improve lives, given things like religious conquests and the hindering of scientific progress; it's debatable that religion caused the great artistic achievements, since most people in history lived in a religious context and thus produced religiously-influenced works - and anyway, it's a horribly elitist and callous idea that lives are worth sacrificing for the sake of 'high art' to appease the more 'civilized' people. So, for this one line, and for this whole attitude on rational thought (which a religion is by definition opposed to), I condemn Christianity and all other religions (including Marxism, though Marx himself is probably innocent; he worked with his own data and never insisted on belief without evidence) for the most inconceivably evil crime ever committed against the human species.
Blessed be Doubting Thomas, who insisted on proof and submitted to the evidence. His attitude would much improve the world, and we should all remember his example. That is the true moral of the parable of Doubting Thomas.